Global carbon emissions to rise again in 2017

Global carbon emissions to rise again in 2017

Global carbon emissions to rise again in 2017

It is more likely that emissions will plateau or have a slight positive growth broadly in line with national emission pledges submitted to the 2015 Paris Climate Change Agreement. In 101 countries, emissions increased as GDP increased.

These are continuing to rise as a effect of warming driven by ever higher greenhouse gas levels in the atmosphere, in response to the profligate global consumption of fossil fuels.

But, the Global Carbon Budget notes, it's not just China that is fueling the increase - both the United States and Europe, the second and third top emitters respectively, both reduced their emissions more slowly than in past years.

Researchers presented the information at COP23 in Bonn, Germany.

The research was published simultaneously in the journals Environmental Research Letters, Nature Climate Change, and Earth System Science Data Discussions, with scientists from around the world contributing to the studies.

Global emissions held steady at 36.2 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide per year from 2014 to 2016, but they are on track to hit a new record high of 36.8 gigatonnes in 2017.

Worldwide, "we are probably in the level-to-upwards direction for emissions in the next years rather than level or downwards", Peters said, because of stronger global gross domestic product (GDP) growth. "It is far too early to proclaim that we have turned a corner and started the journey towards zero emissions".

Researchers at the University of East Anglia (UEA) and the Global Carbon Project forecast China to be the main cause of the renewed emissions growth, with a 3.5% projected increase.

Steelers' Joe Haden breaks fibula against Colts, is out indefinitely
Pittsburgh cornerback Joe Haden suffered a broken left fibula during the first quarter and quickly left for the locker room. Steelers: Starting safety Mike Mitchell left on a cart with an injured right ankle and did not return.

Emissions from fossil fuels and industry will reach around 37 billion tonnes carbon dioxide in 2017. It is again a key driver in 2017.

U.S. emissions are projected to decline by 0.4% this year, more slowly than the decline of 1.2% per year averaged over the last decade because of a return to growth in coal use.

Indian emissions are expected to grow by 2 percent in 2017, but that is in comparison to increases of 6 percent per year over the past decade.

European Union emissions were set to decline by 0.2 percent, which is less of a fall than in previous years. Emissions in the remaining countries, representing about 40% of the global total, are expected to increase by 2.3%.

But researchers predicted yesterday that Carbon dioxide emissions in 2017 would jump by 2 per cent to an all-time high of 41 billion tonnes after the USA and China burned significantly more coal after three years of using less. "This is very disappointing", Corinne Le Quere - the lead researcher and director of the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research at the Britain's University of East Anglia - said.

The Global Carbon Budget report, produced by a team of 77 scientists from 57 organisations around the world, brings together the most accurate information available each year about humanity's carbon output.

"Policy makers in Bonn are preparing for the Global Stocktake under the Paris Agreement, that will start in 2018 and occur every five years, and this puts vast pressure on the scientific community to develop methods and perform measurements that can truly verify changes in emissions within this five-yearly cycle", Prof Le Quere added.

Related news